Analysing international policy processes and Lithuania’s role in them
Review Jul 07, 2022

Belarusian trends in 2022 Q2


  • It is estimated that the Belarusian economy could lose between €16-18 billion annually as a result of the sanctions. The country’s GDP is expected to fall by USD 1.2 billion in 2014 and by 4.1% in 2022.
  • To reduce the impact of the sanctions, Belarus intends to pursue an active economic stimulus policy by fixing the prices of some goods and services and reducing administrative liability for domestic companies for violations.
  • The provocative and pro-Russian actions and statements of the Belarusian leadership towards Ukraine continue. The Southern Operational Military District has been established in Belarus, and Belarusian Special Operations Forces have been deployed near the Ukrainian border area to keep Ukraine’s attention.
  • As the war changed, Belarus began to emphasise the importance of “precise, effective diplomacy” to change the negative Western attitude.
  • Activists speaking out against Russia’s war in Ukraine and Belarus’ stance in the face of it are increasingly being persecuted in Belarus. More than 1500 Belarusians were detained for anti-war protests in May.

Andrius Prochorenko has been working at the EESC since the year 2017. He is a graduate of the Vilnius University’s Institute of International Relations and Political Science, holds a Masters degree in Public Policy Analysis. Andrius is interested in the political economy and is responsible for the implementation of international projects related to hybrid threats, information warfare, and the development of Eastern Partnership countries, as well as the drafting of project applications and reports. He also contributes to the organizing of high-level political events and conferences, the implementation of other national and international projects, he is also a co-author of academic studies and is fluent in English and Russian.

M.A. from the Institute of International Relations and Political Science, Vilnius University, joined the RESC team in 2022.Anton contributes to the development of analytical and informative content, focusing on Russia, Belarus, and the Eastern Partnership countries.