- The Belarusian army is strongly opposed to military involvement in Ukraine, and its commanders are keen to avoid sending ground troops to Ukraine.
- The new Belarusian constitution abolishes Belarus’ status as a neutral state and creates new mechanisms to allow Alexander Lukashenko to retain power even after his presidential term ends.
- The crisis of illegal migration has been contained and is no longer a priority on Lithuania’s security agenda, but cases of illegal migration at the border with Belarus are still being recorded.
- The new sanctions packages imposed on Russia and Belarus are expected to trigger an economic recession in these countries.
- Belarus is increasingly restricting freedom of expression and media freedom by banning alternative sources of information and the ability to speak out on the war in Ukraine.